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“尚道中国发展论坛暨改革开放四十周年”研讨会预告

更新时间:2018-10-05 09:48:27  |  来源: 尚道社会研究所

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研讨会议程
会议时间:102608:302717:00
会议地点:香港万丽海景酒店第8会议室
1025日(周四) 14:00以后
外地嘉宾报到,入住香港万丽海景酒店(香港港岛湾仔港湾道一号)
1026日(周五)
08:40-08:50 研讨会开幕,香港尚道社会研究所所长寒竹致欢迎辞
上午主题发言(每人30分钟)
主持人:赵鼎新(芝加哥大学社会学系Max Palevsky讲座教授)
08:50-09:20 寒竹(尚道社会研究所所长、复旦大学中国研究院研究员)
如何理解改革开放决定中国未来命运
09:20-09:50 沈大伟(乔治华盛顿大学埃略特国际事务学院教授、中国政策项目主任)
深度思考中国的未来
09:50-10:20 互动讨论
10:20-10:40 茶歇
10:40-11:10 欧威廉(哈佛大学肯尼迪政府学院穆萨瓦·拉赫玛尼商业与政府中心高级研究员)
“亚洲奇迹”中的恐惧与简化
11:10-11:40 陈明明(复旦大学国际关系与公共事务学院教授)
双重逻辑交互作用中的党治与法治
11:40-12:10 互动讨论
12:10-13:30 午餐
1026日(周五)下午
下午主题发言(每人30分钟)
主持人:李巍(中国人民大学国际关系学院教授)
13:30-14:00 赵鼎新(浙江大学人文高等研究院院长,芝加哥大学社会学系Max Palevsky讲座教授)
当前中国最大的潜在危险是什么?
14:00-14:30 杜恩(卡托研究所货币研究副主席、高级研究员)
中国的未来发展:挑战与机遇
14:30-15:00 陈宪(上海交通大学安泰经济与管理学院教授)
制度变革是中国改革的主线
15:00-15:30 互动讨论
15:30-15:50 茶歇
15:50-16:20 张克斯(国际战略研究中心费和中国研究项目主任、高级顾问)
重启美中贸易关系:“从窄门进入”
16:20-16:50 李里峰(南京大学政府管理学院教授、副院长)
“新时代”的历史方位
16:50-17:20 互动讨论
17:30-- 晚餐
1027日(周六)上午
上午主题发言(每人30分钟)
主持人:李里峰(南京大学政府管理学院教授)
08:40-09:10 林丹(南加州大学国际关系学院教授)
中国崛起陷入停滞了吗?
09:10-09:40 李巍(中国人民大学国际关系学院教授)
接触战略的终结及其悲剧性后果
09:40-10:10 互动讨论
10:10-10:30 茶歇
10:30-11:00 张晖明(复旦大学经济学院教授)
国有企业改革再出发:从“分类”到“分层”
11:00-11:30 王平(中国评论通讯社副社长、中评智库理事)
改革开放四十年:香港的焦虑与未来
11:30-12:00 互动讨论
12:00-13:30 午餐
1027日(周六)下午
14:00-16:30 圆桌讨论:中国社会发展与对外关系
主持人:寒竹(尚道社会研究所所长)
16:30-16:40 合影留念
18:00— 晚宴
 

                              
 

The Seminar Agenda
Time: 08:30-17:20, October 26; 08:30-17:00, October 27,
Venue: Boardroom 8, Renaissance Harbour View Hotel Hong Kong
After two o’clock afternoon, October 25
Checking into Renaissance Harbour View Hotel Hong Kong
Address: 1 Harbour Road, Wanchai, Hong Kong
Friday morning, October 26
08:40-08:50 Welcoming Speeches
Michael Wu (Director and Research Fellow, Shang Dao Institute for Social Research)
Theme Presentations (30 Minutes/Person)
Moderator: Zhao Dingxin(Max Palevsky Professor of Department of Sociology at University of Chicago)
08:50-09:20 Michael Wu (Director, Shang Dao Institute for Social Research; Research Fellow of China Institute at Fudan University)
How to Understand the Reform and Opening-up Will Determine China’s Future Destiny
09:20-09:50 David L. Shambaugh (Professor and Director of the China Policy Program of Elliott School of International Affairs at George Washington University)
Contemplating China’s Future
09:50-10:20 Question and Answer Session
10:20-10:40 Coffee Break
10:40-11:10 William H. Overholt (Senior Research Fellow of Mossavar Rahmani Center for Business and Government at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government)
Fear and Simplicity in Asian Miracle Growth
11:10-11:40 Chen Mingming (Professor of School of International Relations and Public Affairs at Fudan University)
The Interaction between Rule by Party and Rule of Law in Dual Logics
11:40-12:10 Question and Answer Session
12:10-13:30 Lunch
Friday afternoon, October 26
Theme Presentations (30 Minutes/Person)
Moderator: Li Wei (Professor of School of International Studies at Renmin University of China)
13:30-14:00 Zhao Dingxin(Dean of the Institute for Advanced Study in Humanities and Social Sciences at Zhejiang University;Max Palevsky Professor of Department of Sociology at University of Chicago)
What is the Most Potential Risk in China Currently?
14:00-14:30 James A. Dorn (Senior Fellow and Vice President for Monetary Studies at CATO Institute)
China’s Future Development: Challenges and Opportunities
14:30-15:00 Chen Xian (Professor of Antai College of Economics & Management at Shanghai Jiao Tong University)
Institutional Change is the Main Thread of China’s Reform
15:00-15:30 Question and Answer Session
15:30-15:50 Coffee Break
15:50-16:20 Christopher K. Johnson (Senior Adviser and Freeman Chair in China Studies at CSIS)
Rebooting US-China Trade Ties: “Enter Ye Through the Narrow Gate”
16:20-16:50 Li Lifeng (Professor and Deputy Dean of School of Government at Nanjing University)
The Historic Juncture of “the New Era”
16:50-17:20 Question and Answer Session
17:30- Dinner
Saturday morning, October 27
Theme Presentations (30 Minutes/Person)
Moderator: Li Lifeng (Professor and Deputy Dean, School of Government at Nanjing University)
08:40-09:10 Daniel C. Lynch (Professor of International Relations at University of Southern California)
Is China’s Rise Now Stalling?
09:10-09:40 Li Wei (Professor of School of International Studies at Renmin University of China)
The End of Engagement Strategy and Its Adverse Consequences
09:40-10:10 Question and Answer Session
10:10-10:30 Coffee Break
10:30-11:00 Zhang Huiming (Professor of School of Economics at Fudan University)
Deepening Reform of State-Owned Enterprises: from “Classification” to “Stratification”
11:00-11:30 Wang Ping(Deputy President and Board Member of China Review News Agency)
The 40th Anniversary of Reform and Opening-up: Hong Kong’s Anxiety and Future
11:30-12:00 Question and Answer Session
12:00-13:30 Lunch
Saturday afternoon, October 27
14:00-16:30 Panel Discussion: China’s Social Development and Foreign Relations
Moderator: Michael Wu (Director of Shang Dao Institute for Social Research)
16:30-16:40 Group Photo Session
18:00-- Dinner
 
 
 
 
“尚道中国发展论坛”暨改革开放四十周年研讨会

 
在经过了三十多年的高速发展后,中国在 21 世纪的第二个十年进入了一个重要的历史性转折期。2010 年中国的GDP首次超过日本,成为仅次于美国的第二大经济体;到了2017年,中国的GDP总量大约已是日本的2.65倍。根据世界银行等机构的估计,中国的经济总量大约会在2030年前后超过美国而居于世界首位。毫无疑问,中国的迅速发展引起了西方发达国家的关注。对于西方国家来说,今天的中国仍然还是一个学习西方的发展中国家,还是一个不同制度、不同文明的竞争者或挑战者?崛起的中国与坐拥世界经济头把交椅的美国之间能否避免“修昔底德陷阱”?

另一方面,中国在经过了三十多年的高速发展后,在本世纪的第一个十年结束时也产生了新的问题。这个时期中国的基尼系数达到一个前所未有的高峰;城乡之间、行业之间、地区之间的收入差距明显过大;官员腐败、环境污染、民众的不满情绪日益强烈。2014年开始,中国经济增速明显开始放缓,正式进入了“新常态”。因此,到了21世纪的第二个十年,中国事实上已经步入了一个历史的调整期。中国既需要对中共建政后的前三十年遗留下来的问题与弊端继续进行改革,又同时必须对改革开放三十多年来产生的新问题、新弊端进行改革;既要对内进行政策上的调整,也要对外重新构建与当今世界的关系。

人们已经注意到,中国政府从2012年起开始有意识地调整过去三十几年的发展方向。在国际上,中国提出了“一带一路”倡议与“人类命运共同体”的理念,反复强调中国与西方是一种合作共赢的关系,希望能够继续推进全球化的进程。在国内,中国开始治理官员腐败、环境污染和贫富悬殊等问题,越来越多的政策向社会底层民众倾斜,国家的社会主义色彩越来越鲜明。从宏观历史的发展看,中国过去几年来的调整与转型是一种历史的客观要求,如果不调整,中国的发展将难以为继。从这个意义上讲,中国从2012年以来的重大调整与变化并非偶然,而是有着深刻的社会根源。它应当是邓小平开启的改革开放进一步深化的逻辑延续,目的在于解决中国面临的新老问题。而这个过程中,不断地思考与探索就显得尤为必要。

鉴于此,在中国改革开放四十周年之际,我们诚挚邀请国内外学者共同讨论以下议题:中国四十年的改革开放有什么样的经验值得进一步发扬光大? 在哪些领域里的改革尚待继续深化和加大力度?在四十年的改革中出现了哪些新问题、新弊端需要改革与调整?作为一个新兴的大国,中国与西方,特别是与美国还能不能保持过去那种互联互通的关系?中国与西方国家能否共同创建一个新型的良好互动机制?欢迎与会嘉宾对中国四十年来改革开放的成功经验与存在的问题,经济发展与国家治理,中国与西方发达国家、与其它发展中国家的关系等问题进行思想交流与观点交锋,把全球的当代中国研究推向一个更高的层面。

 

SHANG DAO CHINA DEVELOPMENT FORUM
 Seminar on the 40th Anniversary of the Reform and Opening-up
 
After more than three decades of rapid development, China has come to a crucial historic turning point in the second decade of the 21st century. In 2010, China’s GDP surpassed Japan for the first time, becoming the second largest economy after the United States; by 2017, China’s GDP was about 2.65 times of Japan. According to estimates by the World Bank and other agencies, China’s aggregated economy will surpass the United States in 2030 or so and will rank first in the world. Undoubtedly, China’s rapid development has attracted the attention of Western developed countries. However, is China today still seen as a developing country that learns from the West? Or is China considered a competitor or challenger with a different system and a different civilization? And can the so-called Thucydides Trap between a rising China and the United States the superpower be avoided?
 
After more than three decades of rapid development, China also saw new problems by the end of the first decade of this century. China’s Gini coefficient reached an unprecedented level; the income gap between urban and rural areas, among different professions, and different regions, was very large; official corruption, environmental pollution, and the public’s dissatisfaction were increasingly serious. Since 2014, China's economic growth has apparently begun to slow down, entering the "new normal" period in the real sense. Therefore, in the second decade of the 21st century, China has in fact entered a period of historical adjustment. China not only needs to continue to reform the problems and drawbacks left over from the first 30 years after the establishment of the Chinese Communist Party, but it also has to reform the new problems and new defects occurring in the past 30 years of reform and opening up. That is to say, China has to adjust policies domestically and reconstruct the relationship with the world today.
 
Since 2012, the Chinese government has consciously adjusted the direction of development in the past 30 years. Internationally, China has put forward the "Belt and Road Initiative" and the concept of "community of human destiny". It repeatedly stresses that the relationship between China and the West is win-win cooperation, hoping to promote globalization further. Domestically, China has begun to tackle issues such as official corruption, environmental pollution, and the disparity between the rich and the poor. Policy makers have taken more consideration into those from the bottom of society, and the country’s socialist feature has become increasingly clear. From the perspective of macro-historical development, it is an objective historical requirement for China to adjust and transform over the past few years. Otherwise, developments might not be sustainable. In this sense, it is not accidental that China has made major adjustments and changes since 2012, while still deeply rooted in social issues. It is a logical continuation of the further deepening of reform and opening up initiated by Deng Xiaoping. It is to solve both old and new problems facing China. At this juncture, a further examination and exploration of the whole process is deemed necessary.
 
On the 40th anniversary of China’s reform and opening up, Shang Dao Institute for Social Research sincerely invites scholars at home and abroad to discuss the following topics:
 
  • What kind of practices in China’s 40 years of reform and opening up is worthy of carrying forward in the future? In which aspects do we need to deepen reform?
  • What kind of new problems have emerged in the past 40 years that require further reform and adjustment?
  • As a newly emerging great power, can China still maintain an interconnected relationship with the West, especially with the United States?
  • Can a new type of smooth interaction mechanism be established between China and Western countries?
 
Participants are encouraged to exchange views on the successful experiences and problems of China’s reform and opening up in the past 40 years, economic development and governance, relationships between China and Western developed countries and other developing countries.       
 
 
列席嘉宾(Other Attendees)
1 何建宗
(Henry Ho)
一国两制青年论坛召集人
The Convener of One country Two systems Youth Forum
2 廖建明
(Liu Kin-ming)
香港资深媒体人
Senior Media Staff of Hong Kong
3 孟维瞻
Meng Weizhan
复旦大学中国研究院助理研究员
Assistant Research Fellow of China Institute at Fudan University
4 周文星
Zhou Wenxing
上海交通大学国际与公共事务学院博士研究生
A PhD Candidate of the School of International and Public Affairs at Shanghai Jiao Tong University
 
 
 
会务联系人(Contact):曹朝龙(Cao Zhaolong)
手机(Mobile):(+86)18362915381  
邮箱(E-mail):sinolizing666@163.com
 
 

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